← EFL League One 2024-25 · Sat, Aug 31, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: S. Stockbridge
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Huddersfield win | 39% | 2.45 |
| Rotherham win | 33% | 2.94 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rotherham +0.25 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Huddersfield +0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.88 |
| Over | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Nigel Cello Lonwijk · Huddersfield |
| 45' | 🟨 | Christ Junior Tiehi · Rotherham |
| 47' | 🟨 | Antony Evans · Huddersfield |
| 68' | 🟨 | Lasse Sorensen · Huddersfield |
| 72' | 🟥 | Daniel Ward · Huddersfield |
| 74' | ⚽ | Joe Hodge · Huddersfield |
| 77' | ⚽ (pen) | Jonson Clarke-Harris · Rotherham |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mallik Wilks · Rotherham |
| 90' | ⚽ | Mallik Wilks · Rotherham |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 17 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rotherham | Huddersfield |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | — | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | AESSEAL New York Stadium |
| coach days | 152.00 | 122.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.21 | 2.79 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1550.02 | 1405.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.46 | 67.10 |
| eye test v1 | 0.29 | -0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | — | 0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | — | 60.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | — |
| league points | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.00 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.00 | 52.00 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 0.33 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.80 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.46 | -0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.50 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | — | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | — | 25.36 |
| state index | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.86 | 0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | — | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |