← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, May 2, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: W. Finnie
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea win | 53% | 1.68 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.60 |
| Charlton win | 23% | 3.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea −0.5 | 53% | 1.78 |
| Charlton −0.5 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 74' | ⚽ | Adam Idah · Swansea |
| 79' | ⚽ | Miles Leaburn · Charlton |
| 82' | ⚽ | Adam Idah · Swansea |
| 88' | ⚽ | Leo Walta · Swansea |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 12 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 10 | Corners | 4 |
| 5 | Fouls | 14 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Swansea | Charlton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Swansea.com Stadium |
| coach days | 305.00 | 821.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | -5.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 8.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.62 | 2.36 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1477.97 | 1465.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.86 | -16.43 |
| eye test v1 | -0.12 | 0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.38 | 0.61 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.60 | 48.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.47 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.67 |
| league points | 61.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 67.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 40.80 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.37 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.40 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.08 | -1.10 |
| solidity v1 | -0.93 | -0.85 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.58 | 29.66 |
| state index | -0.20 | -0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.26 | -1.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| travel km | — | 275.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.79 | 1.60 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.57 | 1.29 |