← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, May 2, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: L. Doughty
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn win | 45% | 2.05 |
| Leicester win | 29% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn −0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Leicester −0.25 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 54' | 🟨 | Ricardo Pereira · Leicester |
| 62' | 🟨 | Sean McLoughlin · Blackburn |
| 78' | ⚽ | Stephy Mavididi · Leicester |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 22 |
| 3 | On target | 9 |
| 9 | Corners | 11 |
| 7 | Fouls | 6 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackburn | Leicester |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Ewood Park |
| coach days | 274.00 | 274.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 8.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 3.48 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1450.77 | 1399.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.70 | -16.58 |
| eye test v1 | -0.91 | 0.51 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.49 | -0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.80 | 64.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.64 |
| league points | 52.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 37.80 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 9.70 | 7.69 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.16 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 17.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.10 | 0.24 |
| solidity v1 | 0.01 | 0.75 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.50 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.20 |
| squad age | — | 26.85 |
| state index | -0.26 | -0.78 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.69 | -0.55 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
| travel km | — | 152.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.53 | 1.10 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.88 | 1.66 |