← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sun, Apr 26, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: S. Allison
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 50% | 1.76 |
| Wrexham win | 26% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.75 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry −0.5 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Wrexham −0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ | Brandon Thomas-Asante · Coventry |
| 25' | ⚽ | Oliver Rathbone · Wrexham |
| 29' | 🟨 | Frank Onyeka · Coventry |
| 40' | 🟨 | Matty James · Wrexham |
| 50' | 🟨 | Josh Eccles · Coventry |
| 53' | 🟨 | Oliver Rathbone · Wrexham |
| 80' | ⚽ | Victor Torp · Coventry |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ephron Mason-Clark · Coventry |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 13 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 6 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Coventry | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.84 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Coventry Building Society Arena |
| coach days |
| 541.00 |
| 1760.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 1.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1620.52 | 1573.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.97 | -28.87 |
| eye test v1 | 0.29 | -0.85 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.99 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.00 | 63.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.56 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.63 |
| league points | 89.00 | 70.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.60 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 4.68 | 4.68 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 2.02 | 1.59 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.20 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.93 | 0.09 |
| solidity v1 | 0.87 | -0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.80 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.60 |
| squad age | — | 30.74 |
| state index | 0.53 | -0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.93 | 0.80 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.11 | 1.39 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.12 |