β EFL Championship 2025-26 Β· Sat, Apr 25, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: T. Parsons
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich win | 56% | 1.66 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.90 |
| Swansea win | 20% | 4.75 |
across 1 bookmaker Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich β0.75 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Swansea β0.75 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | π¨ | Marko Stamenic Β· Swansea |
| 43' | π¨ | Ji-sung Eom Β· Swansea |
| 53' | β½ (pen) | Ε½an Vipotnik Β· Swansea |
| 59' | π¨ | Pelle Mattsson Β· Norwich |
| 64' | π¨ | Kellen Fisher Β· Norwich |
| 67' | π¨ | Josh Tymon Β· Swansea |
| 69' | π¨ | Ali Ahmed Β· Norwich |
| 78' | π¨ | Melker Widell Β· Swansea |
| 81' | π¨ | Lawrence Vigouroux Β· Swansea |
| 83' | β½ (pen) | Kenny McLean Β· Norwich |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 8 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Norwich | Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Carrow Road |
| coach days | 267.00 | 298.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | -5.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 8.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.16 | 3.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1521.40 | 1475.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.75 | 15.74 |
| eye test v1 | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.80 | 58.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.63 |
| league points | 64.00 | 60.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.60 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.37 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | -6.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.41 | 0.06 |
| solidity v1 | 0.13 | -0.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.36 | 28.68 |
| state index | 0.28 | -0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.57 | -0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| travel km | β | 374.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.66 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.42 | 1.72 |