← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Apr 25, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: T. Nield
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull win | 40% | 2.32 |
| Charlton win | 31% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton +0.25 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Hull +0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.91 |
| Under | 50% | 1.91 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | 🟨 | Collins Sichenje · Charlton |
| 20' | ⚽ | Charlie Kelman · Charlton |
| 34' | 🟨 | Lewie Coyle · Hull |
| 45' | 🟨 | Thomas Kaminski · Charlton |
| 45' | ⚽ | John Egan · Hull |
| 68' | ⚽ | Jayden Fevrier · Charlton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 14 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 11 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charlton | Hull |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | The Valley |
| coach days |
| 814.00 |
| 298.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.35 | 1.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1456.19 | 1478.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -38.53 | -7.35 |
| eye test v1 | -0.20 | -0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.54 | 0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.50 | 53.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.70 |
| league points | 50.00 | 70.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.20 | 70.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.00 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 2.70 | 3.70 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.59 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.92 | -0.82 |
| solidity v1 | -1.15 | -0.55 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 29.66 | 29.73 |
| state index | -0.98 | -0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.24 | -0.93 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| travel km | — | 252.70 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.77 | 1.96 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.41 | 1.04 |