← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Fri, Apr 24, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Hallam
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall win | 54% | 1.71 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.00 |
| Leicester win | 23% | 4.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leicester +0.75 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Millwall +0.75 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.62 |
| Under | 41% | 2.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 50' | 🟨 | Jake Cooper · Millwall |
| 60' | 🟨 | Femi Azeez · Millwall |
| 67' | 🟨 | Thierno Ballo · Millwall |
| 72' | 🟨 | Hamza Choudhury · Leicester |
| 78' | ⚽ (og) | Jake Cooper · Leicester |
| 90' | ⚽ | Macaulay Langstaff · Millwall |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 22 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 12 |
| 12 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leicester | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | King Power Stadium |
| coach days |
| 266.00 |
| 509.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.40 | -6.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 10.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.17 | 2.64 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1396.36 | 1577.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.35 | 15.49 |
| eye test v1 | 0.78 | -0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.50 | 61.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.76 |
| league points | 48.00 | 79.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.00 | 69.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 44.40 |
| rest days | 3.01 | 3.01 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 11.80 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 21.00 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.47 | -0.93 |
| solidity v1 | 1.16 | 0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 28.89 | — |
| state index | -0.69 | 0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.57 | -0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.76 | 1.53 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.91 | 1.16 |