← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Wed, Apr 22, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: R. Madley
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich win | 61% | 1.51 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.00 |
| Charlton win | 16% | 5.75 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton +1 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Ipswich +1 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.91 |
| Under | 50% | 1.91 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Greg Docherty · Charlton |
| 36' | ⚽ | Darnell Furlong · Ipswich |
| 37' | 🟨 | Macaulay Gillesphey · Charlton |
| 58' | ⚽ (pen) | Jaden Philogene-Bidace · Ipswich |
| 61' | 🟨 | Lyndon Dykes · Charlton |
| 65' | 🟨 | Jack Taylor · Ipswich |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jack Clarke · Ipswich |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 6 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 18 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charlton | Ipswich |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | The Valley |
| coach days | 811.00 | 1603.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 2.74 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1549.37 | 1727.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -33.66 | -7.45 |
| eye test v1 | -0.30 | 0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.54 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.30 | 60.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.67 |
| league points | 50.00 | 76.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.80 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 4.20 | 3.32 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.16 | 1.81 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.52 | 0.30 |
| solidity v1 | -0.85 | -0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.16 | 26.64 |
| state index | -0.66 | 0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.78 | 0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| travel km | — | 99.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.68 | 1.49 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.53 | 1.80 |