β EFL Championship 2025-26 Β· Tue, Apr 21, 06:45 PM UTC Β· ref: L. Doughty
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR win | 42% | 2.20 |
| Swansea win | 29% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
across 1 bookmaker Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Swansea β0.25 | 51% | 1.88 |
| QPR β0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.88 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | β½ | Ronald Β· Swansea |
| 23' | π¨ | Kieran Morgan Β· QPR |
| 55' | π¨ | Kealey Adamson Β· QPR |
| 60' | π¨ | Rhys Norrington-Davies Β· QPR |
| 80' | β½ (pen) | Ε½an Vipotnik Β· Swansea |
| 90' | π¨ | Ronald Β· Swansea |
| 90' | β½ | Rhys Norrington-Davies Β· QPR |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 17 |
| 5 | On target | 11 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 7 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | QPR | Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Loftus Road |
| 294.00 |
| 294.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -6.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 9.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.94 | 3.75 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1446.79 | 1463.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.40 | -9.29 |
| eye test v1 | 0.09 | -0.44 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.30 | 56.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.99 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.61 |
| league points | 58.00 | 57.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 3.30 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -8.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.26 | -0.15 |
| solidity v1 | 0.47 | -1.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | β | 26.52 |
| state index | -0.11 | -0.53 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.12 | -0.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| travel km | β | 256.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.99 | 1.79 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.18 | 1.49 |