← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Tue, Apr 21, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: T. Kirk
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leicester win | 45% | 2.05 |
| Hull win | 30% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.75 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leicester −0.25 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Hull −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Liam Millar · Hull |
| 34' | 🟨 | Luke Thomas · Leicester |
| 35' | 🟨 | Ryan Giles · Hull |
| 52' | ⚽ (pen) | Jordan James · Leicester |
| 54' | ⚽ | Luke Thomas · Leicester |
| 63' | ⚽ | Oliver McBurnie · Hull |
| 70' | 🟨 | Oliver Skipp · Leicester |
| 85' | 🟨 | Ivor Pandur · Hull |
| 86' | 🟨 | Harry Winks · Leicester |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 20 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 8 |
| 11 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leicester | Hull |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | King Power Stadium |
| coach days | 263.00 | 294.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.07 | 1.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1395.68 | 1479.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.93 | -2.05 |
| eye test v1 | 0.36 | -0.64 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | 0.60 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.30 | 54.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.70 |
| league points | 47.00 | 69.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 69.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.00 | 44.00 |
| rest days | 3.30 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.60 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 20.00 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.37 | -1.13 |
| solidity v1 | 1.30 | -0.56 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 30.03 | 29.90 |
| state index | -0.61 | -0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.01 | -0.98 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| travel km | — | 135.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.81 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.37 | 0.81 |