← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Tue, Apr 21, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: A. Kitchen
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 63% | 1.46 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.33 |
| Portsmouth win | 16% | 5.75 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry −1 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Portsmouth −1 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Haji Wright · Coventry |
| 35' | 🟨 | Madiodio Dia · Portsmouth |
| 47' | ⚽ | Ephron Mason-Clark · Coventry |
| 50' | ⚽ (og) | Regan Poole · Coventry |
| 69' | ⚽ | Adrian Segecic · Portsmouth |
| 76' | ⚽ | Ephron Mason-Clark · Coventry |
| 90' | ⚽ | Kaine Kesler-Hayden · Coventry |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 4 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 4 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Coventry | Portsmouth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.85 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 3.20 |
| venue | Coventry Building Society Arena |
| coach days |
| 536.00 |
| 1206.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 7.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 3.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1612.02 | 1458.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.33 | 42.86 |
| eye test v1 | 0.26 | -1.25 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.76 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.70 | 51.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.63 |
| league points | 86.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.80 | 69.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 40.40 |
| rest days | 3.99 | 3.30 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.19 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 7.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.71 | -1.24 |
| solidity v1 | 0.47 | 0.79 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.20 |
| state index | 0.40 | 0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.56 | -0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| travel km | — | 186.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.48 | 1.02 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.67 | 0.93 |