← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Apr 18, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Busby
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United win | 41% | 2.25 |
| Watford win | 33% | 2.82 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Watford +0.25 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Sheffield United +0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.67 |
| Under | 43% | 2.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Imrân Louza · Watford |
| 50' | ⚽ | Patrick Bamford · Sheffield United |
| 59' | ⚽ | Patrick Bamford · Sheffield United |
| 65' | 🟨 | Gustavo Hamer · Sheffield United |
| 75' | 🟨 | Danny Ings · Sheffield United |
| 81' | 🟨 | Sydie Peck · Sheffield United |
| 90' | 🟨 | Matthew Pollock · Watford |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tahith Chong · Sheffield United |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Watford | Sheffield United |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Vicarage Road |
| coach days |
| 107.00 |
| 869.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.35 | 4.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1439.28 | 1496.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.47 | -10.66 |
| eye test v1 | -0.01 | 0.76 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | 0.47 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.30 | 54.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.60 |
| league points | 57.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.05 | 0.65 |
| solidity v1 | -0.54 | 0.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 27.41 | 27.17 |
| state index | -0.41 | -0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.28 | 0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| travel km | — | 204.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.79 | 1.27 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.93 | 1.85 |