← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Apr 18, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Ricardo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich win | 39% | 2.35 |
| Bristol City win | 34% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich +0 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Bristol City +0 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.91 |
| Under | 50% | 1.91 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Sam Morsy · Bristol City |
| 51' | ⚽ | Mohamed Touré · Norwich |
| 54' | 🟨 | Mohamed Touré · Norwich |
| 70' | ⚽ | Mohamed Touré · Norwich |
| 72' | 🟨 | Kenny McLean · Norwich |
| 75' | ⚽ | Mohamed Touré · Norwich |
| 79' | ⚽ | José Córdoba · Norwich |
| 90' | ⚽ | Sam Bell · Bristol City |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 19 |
| 6 | On target | 9 |
| 2 | Corners | 10 |
| 8 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bristol City | Norwich |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.20 |
| venue | Ashton Gate Stadium |
| coach days |
| 107.00 |
| 260.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.13 | 3.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1464.75 | 1497.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.67 | -1.09 |
| eye test v1 | -0.74 | -0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.51 | -0.62 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 54.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.74 |
| league points | 58.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 59.00 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 7.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.80 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.28 | 0.42 |
| solidity v1 | -0.42 | 0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | — | 27.36 |
| state index | -0.24 | 0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.59 | 0.79 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.74 | 1.14 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.85 | 1.25 |