← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Apr 18, 11:30 AM UTC · ref: G. Ward
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth win | 41% | 2.25 |
| Leicester win | 31% | 3.00 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leicester −0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Portsmouth −0.25 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over | 43% | 2.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Hamza Choudhury · Leicester |
| 63' | ⚽ | Ibane Bowat · Portsmouth |
| 75' | 🟨 | Patson Daka · Leicester |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jacob Brown · Portsmouth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marlon Pack · Portsmouth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jordan Ayew · Leicester |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 14 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Portsmouth | Leicester |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Fratton Park |
| coach days | 1203.00 | 260.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.03 | 3.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.68 |
| elo | 1583.33 | 1555.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.66 | -32.79 |
| eye test v1 | -0.76 | 0.64 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | 0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.40 | 61.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.67 |
| league points | 48.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.00 | 54.80 |
| rest days | 3.69 | 6.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.13 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.12 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 10.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 19.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.81 | 0.51 |
| solidity v1 | -0.04 | 1.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 27.85 | 27.60 |
| state index | -0.05 | -0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.22 | -0.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.33 |
| travel km | — | 202.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.17 | 0.81 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.05 | 1.44 |