← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Fri, Apr 17, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Smith
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 50% | 1.86 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| Blackburn win | 22% | 4.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry +0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Blackburn +0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.91 |
| Under | 50% | 1.91 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Yuki Ohashi · Blackburn |
| 51' | 🟨 | Yuri Ribeiro · Blackburn |
| 51' | 🟨 | Frank Onyeka · Coventry |
| 54' | ⚽ | Ryoya Morishita · Blackburn |
| 65' | 🟨 | Ryoya Morishita · Blackburn |
| 65' | 🟨 | Taylor Gardner-Hickman · Blackburn |
| 84' | ⚽ | Bobby Thomas · Coventry |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 9 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackburn | Coventry |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.80 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| venue | Ewood Park |
| coach days | 259.00 | 532.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 3.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.25 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1562.69 | 1753.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.16 | -6.12 |
| eye test v1 | -1.11 | 1.00 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | -0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.20 | 61.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.80 |
| league points | 48.00 | 85.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 82.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 37.80 | 55.40 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 6.31 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.12 | 2.02 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.25 | 1.08 |
| solidity v1 | 0.09 | 0.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 26.36 | 27.22 |
| state index | -0.09 | 0.77 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.97 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| travel km | — | 157.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.46 | 1.36 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.73 | 2.17 |