← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Tue, Apr 14, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Hallam
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich win | 47% | 2.01 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| Portsmouth win | 27% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth +0.5 | 54% | 1.75 |
| Ipswich +0.5 | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over | 43% | 2.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | 🟨 | Marlon Pack · Portsmouth |
| 42' | ⚽ | Conor Shaughnessy · Portsmouth |
| 44' | ⚽ | Colby Bishop · Portsmouth |
| 81' | 🟨 | Marcelino Núñez · Ipswich |
| 82' | 🟨 | Terry Devlin · Portsmouth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jaden Philogene-Bidace · Ipswich |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 10 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Portsmouth | Ipswich |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Fratton Park |
| coach days |
| 1199.00 |
| 1595.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.92 | 3.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1432.94 | 1590.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.98 | 23.49 |
| eye test v1 | -0.40 | 0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.45 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.30 | 61.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.67 |
| league points | 45.00 | 75.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 3.21 | 3.31 |
| scorer concentration | 0.13 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.88 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.54 | 0.29 |
| solidity v1 | -0.18 | 0.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| squad age | — | 27.23 |
| state index | -0.71 | 0.68 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.09 | 0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| travel km | — | 207.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.16 | 1.32 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.04 | 1.73 |