← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sun, Apr 12, 11:00 AM UTC · ref: D. Webb
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham win | 46% | 2.01 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| Wrexham win | 27% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Wrexham −0.25 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.90 |
| Under | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Jhon Solís · Birmingham |
| 27' | 🟨 | Max Cleworth · Wrexham |
| 48' | ⚽ | Carlos Vicente · Birmingham |
| 71' | ⚽ | Christoph Klarer · Birmingham |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 4 |
| 8 | On target | 0 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Birmingham | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| venue | St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park |
| coach days |
| 680.00 |
| 1746.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.01 | 1.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1514.50 | 1572.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -29.67 | -31.50 |
| eye test v1 | -0.28 | -0.83 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.34 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.50 | 59.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.60 |
| league points | 53.00 | 64.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 5.88 | 4.67 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.02 | -0.28 |
| solidity v1 | 0.28 | -1.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 25.22 | 30.74 |
| state index | -0.43 | -0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.59 | -0.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.33 | 1.90 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.98 | 1.12 |