← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Apr 11, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Brooks
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United win | 56% | 1.66 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.90 |
| Hull win | 21% | 4.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull −0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Sheffield United −0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 59% | 1.62 |
| Under | 41% | 2.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Oliver McBurnie · Hull |
| 66' | 🟨 | Mark McGuinness · Sheffield United |
| 66' | 🟨 | John Lundstram · Hull |
| 72' | 🟨 | Semi Ajayi · Hull |
| 75' | 🟨 | Oliver McBurnie · Hull |
| 75' | 🟨 | John Lundstram · Hull |
| 75' | 🟥 | John Lundstram · Hull |
| 84' | 🟨 | Japhet Tanganga · Sheffield United |
| 84' | 🟨 | Ivor Pandur · Hull |
| 84' | 🟨 | John Egan · Hull |
| 85' | ⚽ (pen) | Gustavo Hamer · Sheffield United |
| 88' | ⚽ | Danny Ings · Sheffield United |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lewie Coyle · Hull |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 18 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 15 | Corners | 4 |
| 4 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sheffield United | Hull |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Bramall Lane |
| coach days |
| 862.00 |
| 284.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 2.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1488.69 | 1487.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.28 | 1.14 |
| eye test v1 | 0.21 | -0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.51 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.90 | 55.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.69 |
| league points | 51.00 | 68.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 4.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 1.66 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.13 | -0.46 |
| solidity v1 | -0.35 | -0.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.02 | 28.52 |
| state index | -0.69 | -0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.08 | -0.48 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| travel km | — | 84.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.38 | 1.74 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.53 | 1.30 |