← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Apr 11, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Kirk
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough win | 65% | 1.42 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.33 |
| Portsmouth win | 13% | 7.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth −1.25 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Middlesbrough −1.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Jordan Williams · Portsmouth |
| 72' | 🟨 | Keshi Anderson · Portsmouth |
| 89' | 🟨 | Colby Bishop · Portsmouth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dael Fry · Middlesbrough |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marlon Pack · Portsmouth |
| 90' | ⚽ | Conor Chaplin · Portsmouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 3 |
| 8 | On target | 1 |
| 14 | Corners | 2 |
| 6 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Middlesbrough | Portsmouth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Riverside Stadium |
| coach days |
| 253.00 |
| 1196.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 4.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.37 | 3.92 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.28 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1537.60 | 1418.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.06 | -37.04 |
| eye test v1 | 1.44 | -0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 54.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.50 |
| league points | 72.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.80 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 69.00 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 4.90 | 5.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.76 | 1.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 17.80 | 5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 25.20 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 2.04 | -0.13 |
| solidity v1 | 1.11 | 0.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.73 | — |
| state index | -0.24 | -1.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.24 |
| travel km | — | 420.70 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.86 | 1.05 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 2.51 | 1.15 |