β EFL Championship 2025-26 Β· Sat, Apr 11, 02:00 PM UTC Β· ref: S. Allison
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leicester win | 52% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.70 |
| Swansea win | 23% | 4.10 |
across 1 bookmaker Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leicester β0.5 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Swansea β0.5 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | π¨ | Jannik Vestergaard Β· Leicester |
| 53' | β½ | Ε½an Vipotnik Β· Swansea |
| 59' | π¨ | Luke Thomas Β· Leicester |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 19 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 12 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leicester | Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | King Power Stadium |
| coach days | 253.00 | 284.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.33 | 3.74 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1412.93 | 1462.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.78 | -6.92 |
| eye test v1 | 0.23 | -0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | 0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.10 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | β | 0.59 |
| league points | 47.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 77.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 4.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.37 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 10.00 | -5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 18.60 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.03 | -0.03 |
| solidity v1 | 0.92 | -0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.55 | 27.63 |
| state index | -0.36 | -0.68 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.31 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| travel km | β | 219.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.04 | 1.65 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.42 |