← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Mon, Apr 6, 07:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Webb
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 50% | 1.86 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
| Hull win | 24% | 3.90 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry +0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Hull +0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.67 |
| Under | 43% | 2.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 53' | 🟨 | Lewie Coyle · Hull |
| 61' | 🟨 | Matt Grimes · Coventry |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hull | Coventry |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.48 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.81 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | MKM Stadium |
| coach days | 279.00 | 521.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.06 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1485.55 | 1626.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.49 | 22.64 |
| eye test v1 | -0.77 | 1.56 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.21 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.70 | 61.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.76 |
| league points | 67.00 | 83.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 3.21 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.68 | 2.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.68 | 1.01 |
| solidity v1 | -0.94 | 0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 6.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 7.20 |
| squad age | 29.46 | — |
| state index | -0.34 | 0.94 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.39 | -0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| travel km | — | 162.80 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.94 | 1.59 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.38 |