← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Mon, Apr 6, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Smith
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City win | 36% | 2.55 |
| Sheffield United win | 35% | 2.65 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City +0 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Sheffield United +0 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.91 |
| Under | 50% | 1.91 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | 🟨 | Cameron Pring · Bristol City |
| 20' | 🟨 | Thomas Cannon · Sheffield United |
| 23' | ⚽ | Mark Sykes · Bristol City |
| 66' | 🟨 | Andre Brooks · Sheffield United |
| 69' | 🟨 | Patrick Bamford · Sheffield United |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 21 |
| 1 | On target | 7 |
| 0 | Corners | 5 |
| 6 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bristol City | Sheffield United |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 |
| venue | Ashton Gate Stadium |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | 95.00 | 857.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.73 | 2.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1453.66 | 1498.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.85 | -24.03 |
| eye test v1 | -0.48 | -0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | 0.45 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.10 | 54.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | — |
| league points | 54.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| solidity v1 | -0.94 | -0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | — | 26.01 |
| state index | -0.66 | -0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.44 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.85 | 1.51 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.21 | 1.44 |