← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Fri, Apr 3, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Madley
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 45% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
| Wrexham win | 27% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom −0.25 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Wrexham −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ | Isaac Price · West Brom |
| 38' | 🟨 | Issa Kaboré · Wrexham |
| 38' | ⚽ (pen) | Josh Maja · West Brom |
| 47' | ⚽ | Josh Windass · Wrexham |
| 61' | 🟨 | Callum Styles · West Brom |
| 62' | ⚽ | George Dobson · Wrexham |
| 74' | 🟨 | George Campbell · West Brom |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 13 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | West Brom | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | The Hawthorns |
| coach days |
| 2.00 |
| 1737.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 2.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1416.92 | 1601.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 31.87 | -9.03 |
| eye test v1 | 0.62 | -1.08 |
| eye trend v1 | 1.08 | -0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.90 | 56.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.63 |
| league points | 43.00 | 63.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 12.96 | 12.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.62 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.40 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.20 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.23 | -0.53 |
| solidity v1 | 1.39 | -0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 25.94 | 30.74 |
| state index | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.76 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.72 | 1.62 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.72 | 0.84 |