← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Fri, Apr 3, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Whitestone
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United win | 58% | 1.61 |
| Draw | 24% | 3.90 |
| Swansea win | 19% | 5.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United −0.75 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Swansea −0.75 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Gustavo Hamer · Sheffield United |
| 24' | ⚽ (pen) | Žan Vipotnik · Swansea |
| 45' | 🟨 | Malick Yalcouyé · Swansea |
| 53' | ⚽ | Harrison Burrows · Sheffield United |
| 64' | ⚽ | Thomas Cannon · Sheffield United |
| 75' | ⚽ | Adam Idah · Swansea |
| 82' | ⚽ | Ji-sung Eom · Swansea |
| 90' | 🟨 | Femi Seriki · Sheffield United |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sheffield United | Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Bramall Lane |
| coach days | 854.00 | 276.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.05 | 4.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1501.10 | 1459.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.17 | -8.67 |
| eye test v1 | -0.31 | -0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.00 | 55.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.67 |
| league points | 50.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 12.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 56.40 |
| rest days | 12.96 | 12.86 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.39 |
| season ppg | 1.28 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| solidity v1 | -0.02 | -0.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.05 | 28.39 |
| state index | -0.34 | -0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.52 | 0.72 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| travel km | — | 254.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.35 | 1.35 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.44 | 0.96 |