← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Fri, Apr 3, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: O. Langford
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford win | 40% | 2.32 |
| Hull win | 33% | 2.82 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull −0.25 | 55% | 1.73 |
| Oxford −0.25 | 45% | 2.08 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Mohamed Belloumi · Hull |
| 12' | 🟨 | Charlie Hughes · Hull |
| 13' | ⚽ (pen) | Cameron Brannagan · Oxford |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 1 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oxford | Hull |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.60 |
| venue | Kassam Stadium |
| coach days | 245.00 | 276.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.13 | 2.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1411.98 | 1485.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.55 | -22.84 |
| eye test v1 | -0.25 | -0.99 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 55.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.70 |
| league points | 39.00 | 66.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.40 | 68.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 32.40 | 39.40 |
| rest days | 12.96 | 12.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.69 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.72 | -1.26 |
| solidity v1 | 0.62 | -0.55 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| squad age | — | 29.57 |
| state index | -0.05 | -0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -2.20 | -0.76 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.12 | 1.46 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.24 | 1.11 |