← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Fri, Apr 3, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Martin
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich win | 47% | 2.01 |
| Portsmouth win | 28% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.70 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth −0.5 | 54% | 1.75 |
| Norwich −0.5 | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.90 |
| Over | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟨 | Marlon Pack · Portsmouth |
| 16' | 🟨 | Connor Ogilvie · Portsmouth |
| 26' | ⚽ | Pelle Mattsson · Norwich |
| 30' | 🟨 | Gustavo Caballero · Portsmouth |
| 46' | 🟨 | Liam Gibbs · Norwich |
| 48' | 🟨 | Jacob Wright · Norwich |
| 67' | 🟨 | Pelle Mattsson · Norwich |
| 84' | ⚽ (og) | Pelle Mattsson · Portsmouth |
| 87' | 🟨 | Colby Bishop · Portsmouth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jacob Brown · Portsmouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 5 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 17 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Norwich | Portsmouth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| venue | Carrow Road |
| coach days | 245.00 | 1188.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 6.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 8.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.18 | 4.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.32 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.69 |
| elo | 1502.64 | 1416.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 39.35 | -49.38 |
| eye test v1 | 0.75 | 0.37 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.70 | 59.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.54 |
| league points | 54.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 23.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 62.20 |
| rest days | 12.96 | 12.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 10.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 18.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.51 | 0.45 |
| solidity v1 | 0.86 | 0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 27.45 | — |
| state index | 0.63 | -0.98 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.43 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| travel km | — | 260.70 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.17 | 0.99 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.46 | 1.18 |