← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Fri, Apr 3, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Toner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Charlton win | 41% | 2.30 |
| Bristol City win | 30% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Charlton −0.25 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over | 43% | 2.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Scott Twine · Bristol City |
| 30' | 🟨 | Scott Twine · Bristol City |
| 30' | ⚽ | Lyndon Dykes · Charlton |
| 55' | ⚽ | Noah Eile · Bristol City |
| 60' | 🟨 | Kayne Ramsay · Charlton |
| 70' | 🟨 | Harry Clarke · Charlton |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mark Sykes · Bristol City |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 17 |
| 4 | On target | 8 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 19 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charlton | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | The Valley |
| coach days |
| 792.00 |
| 92.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 2.66 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1494.72 | 1440.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.75 | -47.73 |
| eye test v1 | -1.07 | -0.89 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | -0.50 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.70 | 53.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.65 |
| league points | 48.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.40 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 12.96 | 12.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.31 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.79 | 0.12 |
| solidity v1 | 0.57 | -0.88 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 29.66 | — |
| state index | -0.13 | -0.97 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.32 | 0.87 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.28 | 1.73 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.08 | 0.87 |