← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Mar 21, 05:15 PM UTC · ref: S. Martin
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 45% | 2.10 |
| Swansea win | 29% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry +0.25 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Swansea +0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.91 |
| Under | 50% | 1.91 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | Ethan Galbraith · Swansea |
| 31' | 🟨 | Jay Fulton · Swansea |
| 32' | ⚽ (pen) | Brandon Thomas-Asante · Coventry |
| 38' | ⚽ | Matt Grimes · Coventry |
| 43' | ⚽ | Tatsuhiro Sakamoto · Coventry |
| 72' | 🟨 | Frank Onyeka · Coventry |
| 89' | 🟨 | Marko Stamenic · Swansea |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 11 | Shots | 14 |
| 2 | On target | 7 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Swansea | Coventry |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Swansea.com Stadium |
| coach days | 263.00 | 505.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.08 | 2.68 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1609.86 | 1745.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.69 | 18.86 |
| eye test v1 | -0.55 | 1.43 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.40 | 59.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.76 |
| league points | 52.00 | 77.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.00 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 7.89 | 7.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.39 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.37 | 2.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 17.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.34 | 0.89 |
| solidity v1 | 0.33 | 0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| squad age | 26.12 | 27.16 |
| state index | 0.29 | 0.93 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.84 | -0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| travel km | — | 189.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.26 | 1.24 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.99 | 2.18 |