← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Mar 21, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: W. Finnie
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich win | 43% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
| Charlton win | 28% | 3.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich +0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Charlton +0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Pelle Mattsson · Norwich |
| 34' | 🟨 | Greg Docherty · Charlton |
| 61' | 🟨 | Kellen Fisher · Norwich |
| 71' | 🟨 | Pelle Mattsson · Norwich |
| 86' | 🟨 | Miles Leaburn · Charlton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 17 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 7 |
| 7 | Fouls | 6 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charlton | Norwich |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.50 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | The Valley |
| coach days | 779.00 | 232.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 2.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1506.88 | 1490.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.50 | 32.84 |
| eye test v1 | -1.18 | 0.99 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.60 | 52.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.76 |
| league points | 48.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 57.20 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.34 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.60 | 5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.97 | 0.51 |
| solidity v1 | 0.70 | 0.77 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| squad age | 29.66 | 27.45 |
| state index | -0.08 | 0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.08 | 0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| travel km | — | 153.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.32 | 1.10 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.44 |