← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Mar 21, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Kirk
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 37% | 2.50 |
| Bristol City win | 36% | 2.57 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom +0 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Bristol City +0 | 50% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | ⚽ | George Campbell · West Brom |
| 38' | 🟨 | Tomi Horvat · Bristol City |
| 83' | 🟨 | Callum Styles · West Brom |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 4 | Shots | 19 |
| 1 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 6 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bristol City | West Brom |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Ashton Gate Stadium |
| coach days | 79.00 | 232.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.91 | 2.49 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1453.54 | 1403.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.21 | 20.23 |
| eye test v1 | -0.51 | 0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | 0.94 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.20 | 47.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.61 |
| league points | 51.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 7.10 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.34 | 1.05 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 8.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 17.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.11 | 0.33 |
| solidity v1 | -0.89 | 1.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | — | 26.77 |
| state index | -0.77 | -0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.64 | -0.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.69 | 0.75 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.99 | 1.62 |