← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Mar 14, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Smith
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 47% | 2.01 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Hull win | 26% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom −0.25 | 54% | 1.75 |
| Hull −0.25 | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over | 43% | 2.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Josh Maja · West Brom |
| 36' | 🟥 | Charlie Hughes · Hull |
| 51' | 🟨 | Matt Crooks · Hull |
| 61' | 🟨 | Ousmane Diakité · West Brom |
| 61' | 🟨 | Oliver McBurnie · Hull |
| 67' | ⚽ | Aune Selland Heggebø · West Brom |
| 70' | 🟨 | Joe Gelhardt · Hull |
| 88' | 🟨 | John Lundstram · Hull |
| 90' | ⚽ | Isaac Price · West Brom |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 26 | Shots | 6 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 10 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | West Brom | Hull |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | The Hawthorns |
| coach days |
| 225.00 |
| 256.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 2.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1383.45 | 1501.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.95 | 15.49 |
| eye test v1 | -0.38 | -0.92 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.74 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 45.80 | 56.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.53 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.71 |
| league points | 37.00 | 63.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 13.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 66.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 43.00 |
| rest days | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.03 | -1.17 |
| solidity v1 | 0.88 | -0.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.50 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.77 | 28.38 |
| state index | -1.08 | 0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.29 | -0.63 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| travel km | — | 173.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.92 | 1.67 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.30 | 1.15 |