← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Mar 14, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Whitestone
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leicester win | 54% | 1.71 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.75 |
| QPR win | 21% | 4.33 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leicester −0.5 | 54% | 1.75 |
| QPR −0.5 | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.91 |
| Under | 50% | 1.91 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Jordan James · Leicester |
| 25' | 🟨 | Benjamin Nelson · Leicester |
| 28' | 🟨 | Richard Kone · QPR |
| 43' | ⚽ | Harvey Vale · QPR |
| 50' | ⚽ (og) | Benjamin Nelson · QPR |
| 58' | ⚽ | Ronnie Edwards · QPR |
| 79' | 🟨 | Jimmy Dunne · QPR |
| 83' | 🟨 | Jonathan Varane · QPR |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 14 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leicester | QPR |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| venue | King Power Stadium |
| coach days | 225.00 | 256.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | -3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.24 | 2.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1588.78 | 1552.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.20 | -30.96 |
| eye test v1 | -0.13 | -0.78 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.00 | -0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.20 | 55.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.59 |
| league points | 44.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.40 | 39.40 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.51 | -0.92 |
| solidity v1 | 0.03 | -1.55 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.27 | 25.19 |
| state index | 0.04 | -0.89 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.37 | -0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| travel km | — | 138.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.50 | 2.04 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.89 | 0.84 |