← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Mar 14, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Robinson
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham win | 46% | 2.01 |
| Sheffield United win | 27% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Birmingham −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Sheffield United −0.25 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟥 | Femi Seriki · Sheffield United |
| 25' | ⚽ | Marvin Ducksch · Birmingham |
| 28' | 🟨 | Jack Robinson · Birmingham |
| 45' | 🟨 | Andre Brooks · Sheffield United |
| 45' | ⚽ | Patrick Bamford · Sheffield United |
| 62' | 🟨 | Christoph Klarer · Birmingham |
| 67' | 🟨 | Japhet Tanganga · Sheffield United |
| 72' | 🟨 | Harrison Burrows · Sheffield United |
| 90' | 🟨 | Adam Davies · Sheffield United |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 5 |
| 7 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 0 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Birmingham | Sheffield United |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park |
| 2.20 |
| coach days | 651.00 | 834.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.07 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1628.86 | 1652.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.30 | -6.80 |
| eye test v1 | -0.30 | -0.68 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | -0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.30 | 56.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.67 |
| league points | 52.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 75.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.41 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.25 | -0.02 |
| solidity v1 | 0.24 | -0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 26.45 | 25.57 |
| state index | -0.19 | 0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.53 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| travel km | — | 102.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.02 | 1.39 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.83 | 1.22 |