← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Mar 14, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: M. Donohue
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford win | 44% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
| Charlton win | 27% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford −0.25 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Charlton −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over | 41% | 2.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | Luke Chambers · Charlton |
| 38' | 🟨 | Michał Helik · Oxford |
| 50' | 🟨 | Harry Clarke · Charlton |
| 57' | ⚽ (pen) | Cameron Brannagan · Oxford |
| 66' | 🟨 | Amari'i Bell · Charlton |
| 77' | 🟨 | Stanley Mills · Oxford |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ciaron Brown · Oxford |
| 90' | 🟨 | Joe Rankin-Costello · Charlton |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Charlie Kelman · Charlton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 5 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oxford | Charlton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Kassam Stadium |
| coach days | 225.00 | 772.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -4.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 6.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.11 | 2.13 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1543.72 | 1582.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 37.89 | 21.53 |
| eye test v1 | -0.01 | -0.98 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.81 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.10 | 51.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| league points | 38.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.80 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 31.20 | 37.80 |
| rest days | 2.70 | 2.70 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | -10.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 7.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.71 | -1.25 |
| solidity v1 | -0.01 | 0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 25.44 | 28.06 |
| state index | 0.29 | 0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -2.61 | -0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.33 | 1.28 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.19 | 0.78 |