← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Wed, Mar 11, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: B. Toner
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich win | 40% | 2.32 |
| Sheffield United win | 33% | 2.82 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Norwich +0 | 55% | 1.73 |
| Sheffield United +0 | 45% | 2.08 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.91 |
| Under | 50% | 1.91 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Jaïro Riedewald · Sheffield United |
| 44' | 🟨 | Kenny McLean · Norwich |
| 68' | ⚽ | Jack Stacey · Norwich |
| 72' | 🟨 | Pelle Mattsson · Norwich |
| 77' | 🟨 | Sydie Peck · Sheffield United |
| 84' | ⚽ | Forson Amankwah · Norwich |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ki-Jana Hoever · Sheffield United |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 6 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 11 | Corners | 4 |
| 7 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Norwich | Sheffield United |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.56 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Carrow Road |
| coach days |
| 222.00 |
| 831.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.83 | 2.47 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1479.41 | 1516.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 43.26 | 12.80 |
| eye test v1 | 0.42 | -0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.41 | -0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.70 | 54.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.56 |
| league points | 45.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 11.30 | 4.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.29 | -0.09 |
| solidity v1 | 1.52 | -0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 27.43 | 25.46 |
| state index | 0.70 | 0.14 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.45 | -0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| travel km | — | 203.80 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.32 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.53 | 1.25 |