← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Wed, Mar 11, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: A. Herczeg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough win | 74% | 1.24 |
| Draw | 15% | 6.00 |
| Charlton win | 11% | 8.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough −1.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Charlton −1.5 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.57 |
| Under | 40% | 2.38 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | 🟨 | Luke Chambers · Charlton |
| 45' | 🟨 | Macaulay Gillesphey · Charlton |
| 59' | ⚽ | Conor Coady · Charlton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 34 | Shots | 5 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 11 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Middlesbrough | Charlton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | Riverside Stadium |
| coach days |
| 222.00 |
| 769.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.16 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1569.66 | 1493.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.33 | -19.32 |
| eye test v1 | 0.63 | -0.85 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.37 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.70 | 50.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.60 |
| league points | 69.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.60 | 71.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 63.00 | 42.40 |
| rest days | 3.14 | 4.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.92 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.40 | -4.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.00 | 9.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.37 | -1.14 |
| solidity v1 | 0.51 | 0.52 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.90 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.73 | 29.66 |
| state index | 0.51 | -0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.83 | -0.35 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| travel km | — | 353.80 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.96 | 1.05 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.91 | 0.79 |