← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Tue, Mar 10, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: S. Martin
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wrexham win | 49% | 1.91 |
| Hull win | 26% | 3.60 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull −0.5 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Wrexham −0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.83 |
| Under | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | 🟨 | Oliver McBurnie · Hull |
| 8' | 🟨 | Sam Smith · Wrexham |
| 40' | ⚽ | Joe Gelhardt · Hull |
| 45' | 🟨 | Charlie Hughes · Hull |
| 49' | 🟨 | Oliver Rathbone · Wrexham |
| 63' | ⚽ | Lewis Koumas · Hull |
| 66' | 🟨 | Dominic Hyam · Wrexham |
| 76' | ⚽ | Nathan Broadhead · Wrexham |
| 86' | 🟨 | Toby Collyer · Hull |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kyle Joseph · Hull |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wrexham | Hull |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Racecourse Ground |
| 1713.00 |
| 252.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 2.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1619.33 | 1486.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.88 | -19.63 |
| eye test v1 | 0.14 | -0.85 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | -0.62 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.60 | 55.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.75 |
| league points | 57.00 | 60.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 68.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 10.20 | 3.30 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.09 | -0.77 |
| solidity v1 | 1.00 | -1.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 30.74 | 27.95 |
| state index | 0.25 | -0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.04 | -0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.75 | 1.80 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.27 |