← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Mar 7, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Busby
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich win | 62% | 1.49 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.33 |
| Leicester win | 17% | 5.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leicester −1 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Ipswich −1 | 50% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Luke Thomas · Leicester |
| 34' | 🟨 | Wes Burns · Ipswich |
| 39' | ⚽ | Patson Daka · Leicester |
| 51' | 🟨 | Bobby Decordova-Reid · Leicester |
| 58' | 🟨 | Marcelino Núñez · Ipswich |
| 76' | ⚽ | Sindre Walle Egeli · Ipswich |
| 90' | 🟨 | Cédric Kipré · Ipswich |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jordan James · Leicester |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 10 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ipswich | Leicester |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| venue | Portman Road |
| coach days |
| 1557.00 |
| 218.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -4.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 8.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.44 | 3.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1572.58 | 1413.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.93 | -24.72 |
| eye test v1 | 0.37 | -0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 51.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.60 |
| league points | 63.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 44.20 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 7.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.85 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.22 | -0.72 |
| solidity v1 | 0.56 | -0.89 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.76 | 26.50 |
| state index | 0.69 | -1.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.24 | -0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| travel km | — | 167.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.18 | 1.62 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.25 | 0.79 |