← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Mar 7, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Donohue
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 48% | 1.96 |
| Bristol City win | 27% | 3.50 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City +0.5 | 54% | 1.75 |
| Coventry +0.5 | 46% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | 🟨 | Adam Randell · Bristol City |
| 37' | ⚽ | Tatsuhiro Sakamoto · Coventry |
| 43' | 🟥 | Joel Latibeaudiere · Coventry |
| 45' | 🟨 | Neto Borges · Bristol City |
| 45' | 🟨 | Ephron Mason-Clark · Coventry |
| 45' | ⚽ | Haji Wright · Coventry |
| 56' | 🟨 | Adam Randell · Bristol City |
| 56' | 🟥 | Adam Randell · Bristol City |
| 78' | 🟨 | Victor Torp · Coventry |
| 90' | 🟨 | Noah Eile · Bristol City |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 24 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 7 |
| 11 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 6 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bristol City | Coventry |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| venue | Ashton Gate Stadium |
| coach days | 65.00 | 491.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 2.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1475.51 | 1603.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.19 | 30.17 |
| eye test v1 | -0.12 | 0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.80 | 63.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.69 |
| league points | 50.00 | 71.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 7.79 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 2.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 14.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.24 | 0.08 |
| solidity v1 | 0.05 | 1.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| state index | -0.31 | 0.61 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | -0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.22 | 0.78 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.95 | 1.61 |