← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Mar 7, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: T. Nield
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn win | 36% | 2.57 |
| Portsmouth win | 34% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Blackburn +0 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Portsmouth +0 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.50 |
| Over | 36% | 2.63 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 83' | 🟨 | Eiran Joe Cashin · Blackburn |
| 84' | ⚽ | Connor Ogilvie · Portsmouth |
| 90' | 🟨 | Hayden Carter · Blackburn |
| 90' | ⚽ | Hayden Carter · Blackburn |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 14 |
| 1 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 8 | Fouls | 6 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Blackburn | Portsmouth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Ewood Park |
| coach days |
| 218.00 |
| 1161.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 5.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 8.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.33 | 4.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1412.35 | 1454.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.44 | 16.66 |
| eye test v1 | -0.55 | 0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.60 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.30 | 60.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| league points | 38.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.60 | 75.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 57.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 8.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.64 | 0.15 |
| solidity v1 | 0.21 | 1.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| state index | -0.47 | -0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.37 | 0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| travel km | — | 340.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.17 | 0.71 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.18 | 1.32 |