← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Tue, Mar 3, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: L. Smith
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich win | 66% | 1.39 |
| Draw | 20% | 4.50 |
| Hull win | 13% | 7.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull −1.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Ipswich −1.25 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under | 47% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | 🟨 | Lewie Coyle · Hull |
| 62' | 🟨 | Matt Crooks · Hull |
| 63' | 🟨 | Ivor Pandur · Hull |
| 70' | 🟨 | John Egan · Hull |
| 71' | ⚽ | Azor Matusiwa · Ipswich |
| 82' | 🟨 | Cédric Kipré · Ipswich |
| 90' | 🟨 | Christian Walton · Ipswich |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 6 |
| 7 | On target | 0 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ipswich | Hull |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Portman Road |
| 1553.00 |
| 245.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.44 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1565.83 | 1508.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.29 | -14.05 |
| eye test v1 | 0.36 | -0.79 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | -0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.10 | 53.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.79 |
| league points | 60.00 | 60.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 70.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.30 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.82 | 1.76 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -7.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 8.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.44 | -0.78 |
| solidity v1 | 0.08 | -0.90 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.92 | 29.12 |
| state index | 0.57 | -0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.32 | 0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.15 |
| travel km | — | 213.70 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.36 | 1.81 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.51 | 0.91 |