β EFL Championship 2025-26 Β· Sat, Feb 28, 03:00 PM UTC Β· ref: T. Nield
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United win | 43% | 2.15 |
| QPR win | 30% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| QPR +0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Sheffield United +0.25 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | β½ | Callum O'Hare Β· Sheffield United |
| 33' | β½ | Tyrese Campbell Β· Sheffield United |
| 79' | π¨ | Gustavo Hamer Β· Sheffield United |
| 80' | π¨ | Paul Smyth Β· QPR |
| 90' | π¨ | Kieran Morgan Β· QPR |
| 90' | π¨ | Andre Brooks Β· Sheffield United |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | QPR | Sheffield United |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.20 |
| venue | Loftus Road |
| coach days |
| 242.00 |
| 820.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.87 | 2.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1447.50 | 1507.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.07 | 0.79 |
| eye test v1 | 0.19 | -0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.38 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.10 | 57.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.55 | 0.71 |
| league points | 47.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.20 | 71.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 3.79 | 2.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.32 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 13.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.35 | -0.41 |
| solidity v1 | -0.34 | -0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | β | 25.45 |
| state index | -0.41 | -0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.59 | -0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| travel km | β | 223.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.37 | 1.39 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.17 | 1.25 |