← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Feb 28, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Corlett
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 42% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.10 |
| Oxford win | 28% | 3.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oxford +0.25 | 51% | 1.88 |
| West Brom +0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over | 41% | 2.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Stanley Mills · Oxford |
| 26' | ⚽ | Will Lankshear · Oxford |
| 33' | ⚽ | Oliver Bostock · West Brom |
| 36' | 🟨 | Jed Wallace · West Brom |
| 90' | 🟨 | Krystian Bielik · West Brom |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 16 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 16 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oxford | West Brom |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.10 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.15 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Kassam Stadium |
| coach days |
| 211.00 |
| 211.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.01 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 2.41 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1383.43 | 1385.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.01 | -14.63 |
| eye test v1 | -1.46 | -1.41 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | -0.41 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.40 | 50.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.67 |
| league points | 29.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 23.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.00 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 31.80 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 2.79 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.85 | 1.03 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -9.80 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.94 | -0.35 |
| solidity v1 | -0.99 | 0.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 1.90 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| squad age | — | 26.77 |
| state index | -1.28 | -1.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.47 | 0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.89 | 1.14 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.78 | 0.71 |