← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Feb 28, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Hallam
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wrexham win | 42% | 2.20 |
| Charlton win | 29% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wrexham +0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Charlton +0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over | 45% | 2.10 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Kieffer Moore · Wrexham |
| 17' | 🟨 | Kayne Ramsay · Charlton |
| 30' | ⚽ | Oliver Rathbone · Wrexham |
| 69' | 🟨 | Conor Coventry · Charlton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
| 1 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 4 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Charlton | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.50 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | The Valley |
| coach days |
| 758.00 |
| 1703.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.79 | 2.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1491.96 | 1611.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.44 | -3.90 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | 0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.70 | 59.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.37 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.60 |
| league points | 41.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.20 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.60 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.59 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.37 | -0.06 |
| solidity v1 | 0.35 | 0.96 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 29.66 | 30.74 |
| state index | -0.42 | 0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.25 | -0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.11 | 0.68 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.07 | 1.18 |