← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Feb 28, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: S. Allison
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth win | 50% | 1.86 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.40 |
| Hull win | 23% | 4.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hull −0.5 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Portsmouth −0.5 | 49% | 1.95 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over | 43% | 2.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 60' | 🟨 | Amir Hadžiahmetović · Hull |
| 73' | ⚽ | Matt Crooks · Hull |
| 88' | 🟨 | Ivor Pandur · Hull |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lewie Coyle · Hull |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 22 | Shots | 2 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 11 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 21 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Portsmouth | Hull |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | — |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.78 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Fratton Park |
| 1154.00 |
| 242.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.99 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1465.51 | 1497.99 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.74 | -15.82 |
| eye test v1 | 0.24 | -0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.70 | 48.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.78 |
| league points | 39.00 | 57.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 70.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.60 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 3.70 | 3.70 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.73 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.09 | -0.54 |
| solidity v1 | 0.94 | -0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | — | 28.05 |
| state index | 0.02 | -0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| travel km | — | 331.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.76 | 1.70 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.35 | 1.15 |