← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Feb 28, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: A. Herczeg
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leicester win | 38% | 2.40 |
| Norwich win | 34% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Leicester +0 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Norwich +0 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 57' | 🟨 | Caleb Okoli · Leicester |
| 60' | 🟨 | José Córdoba · Norwich |
| 64' | 🟨 | Luke Thomas · Leicester |
| 64' | 🟨 | Liam Gibbs · Norwich |
| 68' | ⚽ | Anis Ben Slimane · Norwich |
| 78' | ⚽ | Ali Ahmed · Norwich |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 8 |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 8 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Leicester | Norwich |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| venue | King Power Stadium |
| coach days | 211.00 | 211.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.16 | 1.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.63 |
| elo | 1429.23 | 1463.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.47 | 21.42 |
| eye test v1 | -0.38 | 0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.40 | 53.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.69 |
| league points | 40.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 20.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.80 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 3.70 | 2.70 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.24 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.72 | 0.25 |
| solidity v1 | -0.66 | 1.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 28.18 | 26.57 |
| state index | -0.97 | 0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.79 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| travel km | — | 165.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.57 | 0.85 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.08 | 1.45 |