← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Tue, Feb 24, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: T. Reeves
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wrexham win | 46% | 2.01 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
| Portsmouth win | 26% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Wrexham −0.25 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Portsmouth −0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over | 43% | 2.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | ⚽ | Sam Smith · Wrexham |
| 30' | 🟨 | Regan Poole · Portsmouth |
| 39' | ⚽ | Max Cleworth · Wrexham |
| 49' | ⚽ | Zak Swanson · Portsmouth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 3 | Corners | 15 |
| 9 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wrexham | Portsmouth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| venue | Racecourse Ground |
| coach days |
| 1699.00 |
| 1150.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.37 | 4.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.67 |
| elo | 1606.11 | 1470.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.37 | 37.55 |
| eye test v1 | 0.44 | 0.84 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | 0.63 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.90 | 62.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.63 |
| league points | 51.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 8.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.03 | 0.20 |
| solidity v1 | 0.73 | 1.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 30.74 | — |
| state index | 0.29 | 0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.08 | -0.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.67 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 1.29 | 1.76 |