← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Tue, Feb 24, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: S. Allison
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom win | 49% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Charlton win | 23% | 4.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom −0.5 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Charlton −0.5 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over | 40% | 2.38 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Lloyd Jones · Charlton |
| 27' | 🟨 | Callum Styles · West Brom |
| 45' | ⚽ | George Campbell · West Brom |
| 49' | 🟨 | Jayson Molumby · West Brom |
| 57' | 🟨 | Harry Clarke · Charlton |
| 66' | 🟨 | Collins Sichenje · Charlton |
| 70' | ⚽ | Lyndon Dykes · Charlton |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 3 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 0 |
| 12 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | West Brom | Charlton |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | The Hawthorns |
| coach days | 207.00 | 754.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.69 | 2.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1383.63 | 1493.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.67 | -0.14 |
| eye test v1 | -1.39 | -0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.54 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.10 | 52.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.72 |
| league points | 34.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 68.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 41.00 |
| rest days | 3.30 | 3.20 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.20 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.66 | -1.02 |
| solidity v1 | 0.48 | 0.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 25.46 | 29.66 |
| state index | -1.02 | -0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.28 | -1.21 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| travel km | — | 177.90 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.15 | 1.10 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.56 | 1.29 |