← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Feb 21, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Doughty
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich win | 45% | 2.10 |
| Wrexham win | 28% | 3.30 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich +0.25 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Wrexham +0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Kieffer Moore · Wrexham |
| 20' | ⚽ | Anis Mehmeti · Ipswich |
| 26' | 🟨 | Max Cleworth · Wrexham |
| 31' | 🟨 | Callum Doyle · Wrexham |
| 37' | 🟨 | Leif Davis · Ipswich |
| 37' | ⚽ | Josh Windass · Wrexham |
| 41' | 🟨 | Cédric Kipré · Ipswich |
| 45' | 🟨 | Darnell Furlong · Ipswich |
| 45' | ⚽ | Ivan Azón · Ipswich |
| 47' | ⚽ | Cédric Kipré · Ipswich |
| 57' | 🟨 | Wes Burns · Ipswich |
| 60' | 🟨 | Oliver Rathbone · Wrexham |
| 64' | 🟨 | Dominic Hyam · Wrexham |
| 66' | ⚽ | George Thomason · Wrexham |
| 75' | ⚽ | Callum Doyle · Wrexham |
| 86' | ⚽ | Nathan Broadhead · Wrexham |
| 88' | 🟨 | George Dobson · Wrexham |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 17 | Shots | 13 |
| 10 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 10 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Wrexham | Ipswich |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.83 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| venue | Racecourse Ground |
| coach days |
| 1696.00 |
| 1543.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 1.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1595.47 | 1551.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.45 | 11.09 |
| eye test v1 | -0.14 | 0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.21 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.10 | 61.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.78 |
| league points | 48.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 3.80 | 14.10 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.09 | 0.77 |
| solidity v1 | 1.17 | 0.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 30.74 | 27.90 |
| state index | 0.11 | 0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.06 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 0.54 | 1.05 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.98 | 2.04 |