← EFL Championship 2025-26 · Sat, Feb 21, 12:30 PM UTC · ref: J. Linington
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry win | 48% | 1.96 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| West Brom win | 26% | 3.60 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| West Brom +0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Coventry +0.5 | 47% | 2.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under | 48% | 2.00 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Ephron Mason-Clark · Coventry |
| 16' | 🟨 | Milan van Ewijk · Coventry |
| 17' | 🟨 | Tatsuhiro Sakamoto · Coventry |
| 32' | ⚽ | Jack Rudoni · Coventry |
| 38' | 🟨 | Bobby Thomas · Coventry |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 11 | Shots | 10 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 7 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | West Brom | Coventry |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | The Hawthorns |
| coach days |
| 204.00 |
| 477.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1393.40 | 1579.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.21 | -13.08 |
| eye test v1 | -1.25 | 0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.67 | -0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.80 | 64.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.70 |
| league points | 34.00 | 62.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.20 | 55.60 |
| rest days | 10.69 | 4.69 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 1.94 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.64 | 0.57 |
| solidity v1 | 0.14 | 0.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.25 | — |
| state index | -1.19 | -0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| travel km | — | 32.40 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| xg against avg (last 5) | 1.08 | 0.97 |
| xg for avg (last 5) | 0.68 | 1.81 |